Waiting time to infectious disease emergence
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Waiting time to infectious disease emergence
Emerging diseases must make a transition from stuttering chains of transmission to sustained chains of transmission, but this critical transition need not coincide with the system becoming supercritical. That is, the introduction of infection to a supercritical system results in a significant fraction of the population becoming infected only with a certain probability. Understanding the waiting...
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Using a weak migration and weak mutation approximation, I studied the average waiting time to parapatric speciation. The description of reproductive isolation used is based on the classical Dobzhansky model and its recently proposed multilocus generalizations. The dynamics of parapatric speciation are modelled as a biased random walk performed by the average genetic distance between the residen...
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BACKGROUND The control of emergence and spread of infectious diseases depends critically on the details of the genetic makeup of pathogens and hosts, their immunological, behavioral and ecological traits, and the pattern of temporal and spatial contacts among the age/stage-classes of susceptible and infectious host individuals. METHODS AND FINDINGS We show that failing to acknowledge the exis...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of The Royal Society Interface
سال: 2016
ISSN: 1742-5689,1742-5662
DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2016.0540